Florence is puzzling everyone on the weatherboards, as it shouldn't be a Category 4, but is. Monday's forecast... Upper level wind shear was going to keep it tamped down... Current forecast... No one has any confidence in where it is going, as the spaghetti models have been in every direction, although it seems to be tightening. Can it make it to the USA? We should sincerely hope not, as the warmer waters should intensify Florence's strength. But then Florence has managed to upset a lot of the modeling. Still a lot can happen, but we will know with certainty in about a week.