Here Come's Irma

Discussion in 'In the News' started by Gary Ridenour, Aug 31, 2017.

  1. Gary Ridenour

    Gary Ridenour Very Well-Known Member
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    didn't we just sing this song??

    Hurricane Irma strengthened Thursday into a Category 3 storm with 115 mph sustained winds and is forecast to be an "extremely dangerous" storm for the next several days, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    In its 5 p.m. ET advisory, the NHC said the storm was located over the Eastern Atlantic Ocean, about 720 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving west-northwest at 12 mph.

    http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/0...icane-forecast-to-be-extremely-dangerous.html
     
    #1
  2. Harry Havens

    Harry Havens Well-Known Member
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    I'm a bit more worried about Jose at this point.
     
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  3. Shirley Martin

    Shirley Martin Veteran Member
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    We need to pray that it doesn't hit Texas.
     
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  4. Yvonne Smith

    Yvonne Smith Very Well-Known Member
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    At this point, it is pretty at away, but the projection does show it headed towards the Gulf as opposed to up the East Coast. Neither one is good; but Texas is already in such a devastated shape and so much flooding still coming out of the rivers, that it would be truly horrible should another storm go there.

    I don't see any storm called Jose. Where is it at ? It is not showing on my NOAA hurricane page.

    EDIT:
    Okay, I think that Jose must be the one coming upthrough Mexico and then into the Gulf, and yes, I think that it needs to be watched.
    The prediction for Irma is that it can strengthen into a cat 5, and then hit the East Coast. Not Good !

     
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    Last edited: Aug 31, 2017
  5. Harry Havens

    Harry Havens Well-Known Member
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    I don't see any storm called Jose. Where is it at ? It is not showing on my NOAA hurricane page.
    You have to click on the 5 day forecast and then you will see this...
    upload_2017-8-31_19-26-25.png
    The site says within 5 days, but some longer range models are suggesting tropical storm status following near path of Harvey, but without the intensity of Harvey. Rainfall not so sure.

    Then there is the Euro and GFS models looking out at 9-7, With most people leaning towards the GFS model. Correction... they lean more towards the Euro model!!
    upload_2017-8-31_19-29-31.png
    Don't get too excited about the arrows. A lot can change across all the models in the next 5 days.
     
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    Last edited: Aug 31, 2017
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  6. Tim Burr

    Tim Burr Well-Known Member
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    Tornado warning for Nashville, flash-flooding warnings.
    We are watching Irma closely. Hoping for the best for Texas.
    Still planning to head to Florida this weekend.
     
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  7. Yvonne Smith

    Yvonne Smith Very Well-Known Member
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    We have tornado warnings here in Huntsville, too, @Tim Burr ; but so far all we have had is some wind and not even any rain, although that could still happpen. It definitely looks like Tennessee is getting the worst of it, from what our radar looks like.

    Be safe on your trip to Florida !
    Be sure and keep your eye on what Irma is doing; because at this point, it could change course and come ashore just about anywhere.
     
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  8. Harry Havens

    Harry Havens Well-Known Member
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    Have a good trip and don't worry about Irma until around the 8th of 9th. This blending of multiple Euro and GFS models look like this...
    upload_2017-8-31_19-54-10.png
    That's about 240 hours of speculation.
     
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  9. Tim Burr

    Tim Burr Well-Known Member
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    Getting a headache looking at that map :eek:

    We'll keep an eye on that one. If we have to cut it short, it's just a vacation.
    Others have it worse.
     
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  10. Harry Havens

    Harry Havens Well-Known Member
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    A lot can happen in the space of 24~48 hours...This from August 23rd...
    upload_2017-8-31_20-21-18.png
    If you wonder about some of the decisions made, this should help explain some of them.
     
    #10
  11. Cody Fousnaugh

    Cody Fousnaugh Very Well-Known Member
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    Another darn hurricane! A lot of folks love living along the Gulf Coast, Florida and the East Coast, but these darn hurricanes are a real pain. BUT, there are still tornado's, snowstorms/blizzards, heat waves and earthquakes, so some type of bad weather hits besides hurricanes.

    It's just that the Gulf Coast doesn't need any more destructive weather and some of our coastal communties are still rebuilding since Mathew was 50 miles off of our coast last year.
     
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  12. Yvonne Smith

    Yvonne Smith Very Well-Known Member
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    I totally agree with what you are saying , @Cody Fousnaugh , and I can see why you would want to move. No matter where we live, there are always weather issues, whether it is hurricanes , earthquakes of blizzards. We all just have to decide which weather conditions we can live with , and why we want to live there.
    I really miss north Idaho, although definitely not the cold, snow, and blizzards in the winter. However, my daughter, Robin, lives here, and that Is why Bobby and I moved out to Alabama. Chrissy lives close to her daughter, too, even though she doesn't like the heat all year around; so until she moves closer to her daughter's house, she is pretty much stuck in Fresno, too.
    You are fortunate in that way, Cody, because you don't have family to be concerned about and can just go and live wherever you and your wife decide you want to live at.
    I would like to live along the West Coast of Washington or Oregon, but out there, you can have earthquakes. And sometimes, it seems to just rain and rain for days; so no matter where we choose to live, there are always considerations.
     
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  13. Cody Fousnaugh

    Cody Fousnaugh Very Well-Known Member
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    Although, it is said, that San Diego, CA has the best year-round weather in the U.S.. It sure was nice when I was stationed there onboard a Navy ship. However, during their winter months, obviously no snow, but overnight temps did get cool enough to wear a Navy issued Pecoat.

    That is, for those that can afford to live in San Diego (safe areas).
     
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  14. Martin Alonzo

    Martin Alonzo Very Well-Known Member
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    Maybe we will be lucky and get some rain out of this one 085120_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
     
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  15. Martin Alonzo

    Martin Alonzo Very Well-Known Member
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    I think the east coast might just get a big hurricane but like normal it seen the Dominican Republic and is heading away still hoping for a little rain.
    085648_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
     
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  16. Harry Havens

    Harry Havens Well-Known Member
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    Here is today's Spaghetti meal, which consists of the combined GFS and Euro Models...
    upload_2017-9-2_9-3-56.png

    The commentary indicates brushing the North Carolina Coast at this time.
     
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  17. Harry Havens

    Harry Havens Well-Known Member
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    Today's combined Euro and GFS spaghetti dinner...
    upload_2017-9-3_11-28-57.png
    It has shifted a bit, with Florida through the Carolinas getting brushed. It could very likely change as there is some uncertainty about the interaction of the Jet Stream and a Bermuda high. Current forecasts has the jet stream dipping into Southern Georgia by next weekend, dragging along some cooler weather.
     
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  18. Martin Alonzo

    Martin Alonzo Very Well-Known Member
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    We might get some rain on the north coast here in the DR we can use it 145723_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
     
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  19. Harry Havens

    Harry Havens Well-Known Member
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    The Euro/GFS combined spaghetti models for 9-7. The GFS portion indicates from Florida panhandle and eastward, while the Euro is still brushing the east coast of Florida up through the Carolinas. Still a wide range of possibilities that will narrow going forward.
    upload_2017-9-4_9-33-10.png
     
    #19
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  20. Yvonne Smith

    Yvonne Smith Very Well-Known Member
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    Here is another speculation about where hurricane Irma is going to go ashore, and this model is predicting that this hurricane is also going to be a huge one, and could become a Cat 5 by the time it reaches Florida. If it goes the way that this model shows, it looks like it will make first landfall in Miami, and then go all the way up the state before turning inland, and finally winding down near Nashville, which is also where Harvey finally ended up at.

     
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  21. Cody Fousnaugh

    Cody Fousnaugh Very Well-Known Member
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    There is a Cold Front coming down from Canada that will definitely help tell where this thing is going. From what we can tell, nobody in Florida is talking about this hurricane, let alone worried about it.
    Last year, Mathew was 50 miles off of the Jacksonville Beach coast. Impact was felt all along the coastal area down into Daytona. We weren't even in a Evacuation Zone and stayed at home. A number of our neighbors did leave. We got hit with high wind and some rain, but nothing really major. On the other hand, the beach areas REALLY got hit.

    My wife's brother doesn't have to worry about hurricanes anymore. He has moved to Alexandria, Louisiana.
     
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  22. Martin Alonzo

    Martin Alonzo Very Well-Known Member
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    Latest out of National Hurricane Center it just might go back in the gulf 115000_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
     
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  23. Gary Ridenour

    Gary Ridenour Very Well-Known Member
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    she's a Cat 4 now
     
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  24. Gary Ridenour

    Gary Ridenour Very Well-Known Member
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    Florida Gov. Rick Scott declared a state of emergency for the entire state Monday as Category 4 Hurricane Irma is expected to hit the state later this week.
     
    #24
  25. Yvonne Smith

    Yvonne Smith Very Well-Known Member
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    The people in Texas were not worried about Harvey until it was pretty much too late for them to get out, @Cody Fousnaugh . Most of the Irma models are showing it as a very strong hurricane, and coming right up through all of Florida. Even if you do not intend to evacuate, I think that it is a good idea to at least have a plan in case you have to do that, and to be able to leave before the storm gets so bad that it is not safe to leave.
    If the governor is declaring a state of emergency for the whole state, then they are definitely expecting a hard storm.

     
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